2013 MOP to ILS Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.4740 ILS

YEARLY LOW

0.4344 ILS

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4519 ILS

2013 MOP to ILS Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MOP to ILS exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 0.4740. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.4344.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0396 ILS. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4684 to the December average rate of 0.4385, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.4740 was down 7.45% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.5121, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,370 ILS

2012 Average 2,412 ILS

Yearly Trough Low 2,172 ILS

Transaction Impact: A difference of 198.03 ILS purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.4714

0.4355

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to ILS Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4588, compared to 0.4450 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0137 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4588

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4450

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was May, with a trading range of 0.0205 ILS (High: 0.4633 / Low: 0.4427). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0058 ILS (High: 0.4470 / Low: 0.4412).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0205

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0058

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0073 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0073

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 0.4684) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.4763), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0079 (-1.67%).

2013 Avg (January) 0.4684

2012 Avg (January) 0.4763

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.4740	0.4652	0.4684
February	0.4663	0.4585	0.4621
March	0.4679	0.4529	0.4605
April	0.4560	0.4498	0.4532
May	0.4633	0.4427	0.4541
June	0.4617	0.4487	0.4542
July	0.4593	0.4471	0.4511
August	0.4572	0.4416	0.4477
September	0.4580	0.4382	0.4470
October	0.4464	0.4402	0.4429
November	0.4470	0.4412	0.4429
December	0.4416	0.4344	0.4385