YEARLY HIGH
14.1747 JPY
YEARLY LOW
12.9590 JPY
YEARLY AVERAGE
13.6773 JPY

2018 MOP to JPY Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to JPY exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 3, valuing the pair at 14.1747. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 23, dropping to 12.9590.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2157 JPY. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.7808 to the December average rate of 13.9171, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.99% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 14.1747 was down 3.85% compared to the 2017 peak of 14.7422, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 70,873 JPY
2017 Average 69,882 JPY
Yearly Trough Low 64,795 JPY
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,078.59 JPY purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

14.1490
13.0342
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to JPY Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.4659, compared to 13.8886 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4227 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.4659
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.8886

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.5442 JPY (High: 14.0312 / Low: 13.4870). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1747 JPY (High: 13.7109 / Low: 13.5363).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.5442
June Spread (Stable) ±0.1747

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3915 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3915

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 13.9654) against the same month in 2017 (average: 14.0424), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0771 (-0.55%).

2018 Avg (October) 13.9654
2017 Avg (October) 14.0424

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.0312 13.4870 13.7808
February 13.6701 13.1744 13.3893
March 13.2415 12.9590 13.1271
April 13.5309 13.0753 13.3124
May 13.7264 13.4091 13.5657
June 13.7109 13.5363 13.6203
July 13.9869 13.6647 13.7817
August 13.8168 13.6052 13.7341
September 14.1143 13.6674 13.8773
October 14.1747 13.8488 13.9654
November 14.1347 13.9407 14.0561
December 14.1184 13.5844 13.9171