YEARLY HIGH
4.0414 NIO
YEARLY LOW
3.8250 NIO
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9224 NIO

2018 MOP to NIO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to NIO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 4.0414. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 8, dropping to 3.8250.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2164 NIO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.8449 to the December average rate of 4.0253, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.0414 was up 5.09% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.8455, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,207 NIO
2017 Average 18,688 NIO
Yearly Trough Low 19,125 NIO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,082.15 NIO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.0433
3.8269
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to NIO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.8692, compared to 3.9757 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1065 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.8692
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.9757

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.0647 NIO (High: 4.0142 / Low: 3.9495). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0147 NIO (High: 3.8681 / Low: 3.8534).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0647
April Spread (Stable) ±0.0147

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0074 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0074

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 4.0253) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.8302), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1950 (+5.09%).

2018 Avg (December) 4.0253
2017 Avg (December) 3.8302

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.8746 3.8250 3.8449
February 3.8812 3.8542 3.8660
March 3.8708 3.8514 3.8586
April 3.8681 3.8534 3.8599
May 3.9066 3.8573 3.8791
June 3.9244 3.8947 3.9067
July 3.9452 3.9009 3.9239
August 3.9600 3.9257 3.9447
September 4.0142 3.9495 3.9685
October 3.9997 3.9719 3.9857
November 4.0203 3.9920 4.0061
December 4.0414 3.9995 4.0253