YEARLY HIGH
4.5897 NIO
YEARLY LOW
4.5276 NIO
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5595 NIO

2026 MOP to NIO Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to NIO exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 4.5897. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 30, dropping to 4.5276.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0620 NIO. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5795 to the December average rate of 4.5528, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.58% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 4.5897 was down 0.66% compared to the 2025 peak of 4.6200, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,948 NIO
2025 Average 22,907 NIO
Yearly Trough Low 22,638 NIO
Transaction Impact: A difference of 310.17 NIO purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

4.5828
4.5431
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to NIO Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5606, compared to 4.5528 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0078 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5606
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5528

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was July, with a trading range of 0.0329 NIO (High: 4.5606 / Low: 4.5276). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0153 NIO (High: 4.5733 / Low: 4.5580).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0329
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0153

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0122 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0122

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 4.5795) against the same month in 2025 (average: 4.5891), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0096 (-0.21%).

2026 Avg (January) 4.5795
2025 Avg (January) 4.5891

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.5897 4.5631 4.5795
February 4.5733 4.5580 4.5673
March 4.5764 4.5492 4.5614
April 4.5655 4.5475 4.5576
May 4.5602 4.5313 4.5464
June 4.5629 4.5360 4.5514
July 4.5606 4.5276 4.5528