YEARLY HIGH
14.7433 NPR
YEARLY LOW
12.5626 NPR
YEARLY AVERAGE
13.5498 NPR

2018 MOP to NPR Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to NPR exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 9, valuing the pair at 14.7433. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 12.5626.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1807 NPR. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.6425 to the December average rate of 14.0271, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.95% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 14.7433 was up 7.67% compared to the 2017 peak of 13.6927, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 73,717 NPR
2017 Average 64,903 NPR
Yearly Trough Low 62,813 NPR
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,903.51 NPR purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

14.7861
12.4476
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to NPR Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.0123, compared to 14.0874 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0751 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.0123
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.0874

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.7490 NPR (High: 14.5787 / Low: 13.8297). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1035 NPR (High: 13.6491 / Low: 13.5456).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.7490
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1035

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.3285 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3285

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 14.5912) against the same month in 2017 (average: 12.9474), the exchange rate shifted by +1.6438 (+12.70%).

2018 Avg (October) 14.5912
2017 Avg (October) 12.9474

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 12.7199 12.5626 12.6425
February 12.9354 12.6452 12.7823
March 12.9389 12.8338 12.8845
April 13.2333 12.8623 12.9975
May 13.5148 13.1348 13.3542
June 13.6005 13.2549 13.4127
July 13.6491 13.5456 13.5936
August 14.0357 13.5491 13.7698
September 14.4484 14.0357 14.2798
October 14.7433 14.4590 14.5912
November 14.5787 13.8297 14.2626
December 14.3065 13.8243 14.0271