YEARLY HIGH
0.5144 RON
YEARLY LOW
0.4616 RON
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.4885 RON

2018 MOP to RON Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to RON exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 12, valuing the pair at 0.5144. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.4616.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0528 RON. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.4735 to the December average rate of 0.5072, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.10% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.5144 was down 5.46% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5441, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,572 RON
2017 Average 2,524 RON
Yearly Trough Low 2,308 RON
Transaction Impact: A difference of 264.09 RON purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.5128
0.4638
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RON Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4765, compared to 0.5005 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0240 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4765
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5005

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0222 RON (High: 0.4982 / Low: 0.4760). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0084 RON (High: 0.4958 / Low: 0.4874).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0222
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0084

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0056 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0056

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2018: 0.5087) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4908), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0179 (+3.65%).

2018 Avg (November) 0.5087
2017 Avg (November) 0.4908

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.4839 0.4652 0.4735
February 0.4737 0.4616 0.4679
March 0.4715 0.4624 0.4681
April 0.4769 0.4634 0.4697
May 0.4982 0.4760 0.4857
June 0.4993 0.4888 0.4941
July 0.4958 0.4874 0.4921
August 0.5086 0.4893 0.4980
September 0.4974 0.4890 0.4937
October 0.5091 0.4985 0.5033
November 0.5144 0.5051 0.5087
December 0.5125 0.5012 0.5072