2016 MOP to SZL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.0976 SZL

YEARLY LOW

1.6674 SZL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.8391 SZL

2016 MOP to SZL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to SZL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 18, valuing the pair at 2.0976. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 8, dropping to 1.6674.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4301 SZL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0303 to the December average rate of 1.7364, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2.0976 was up 5.93% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.9801, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,488 SZL

2015 Average 7,999 SZL

Yearly Trough Low 8,337 SZL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,150.65 SZL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2.0613

1.6897

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SZL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9258, compared to 1.7524 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1733 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9258

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7524

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.1952 SZL (High: 1.9734 / Low: 1.7782). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0765 SZL (High: 1.7701 / Low: 1.6936).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.1952

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0765

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0939 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0939

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 2.0303) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.4469), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5834 (+40.32%).

2016 Avg (January) 2.0303

2015 Avg (January) 1.4469

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.0976	1.9361	2.0303
February	2.0119	1.9054	1.9716
March	1.9798	1.8528	1.9233
April	1.9046	1.7791	1.8294
May	1.9734	1.7782	1.9137
June	1.9547	1.8030	1.8862
July	1.8490	1.7467	1.8019
August	1.8078	1.6705	1.7207
September	1.8296	1.6947	1.7619
October	1.7886	1.7014	1.7441
November	1.8114	1.6674	1.7497
December	1.7701	1.6936	1.7364