YEARLY HIGH
1.9174 SZL
YEARLY LOW
1.4347 SZL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.6396 SZL

2018 MOP to SZL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to SZL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 5, valuing the pair at 1.9174. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 26, dropping to 1.4347.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4828 SZL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.5150 to the December average rate of 1.7668, the exchange rate registered a net change of 16.62% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1.9174 was up 6.16% compared to the 2017 peak of 1.8062, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 9,587 SZL
2017 Average 8,294 SZL
Yearly Trough Low 7,173 SZL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,413.90 SZL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1.8623
1.4313
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to SZL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.5233, compared to 1.7558 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2325 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.5233
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.7558

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.1729 SZL (High: 1.8108 / Low: 1.6379). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0522 SZL (High: 1.4938 / Low: 1.4417).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1729
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0522

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0507 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0507

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 1.8264) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1.6318), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1947 (+11.93%).

2018 Avg (September) 1.8264
2017 Avg (September) 1.6318

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.5482 1.4730 1.5150
February 1.5089 1.4347 1.4700
March 1.4938 1.4417 1.4672
April 1.5397 1.4614 1.4959
May 1.5777 1.5188 1.5513
June 1.7075 1.5533 1.6404
July 1.7133 1.6217 1.6592
August 1.8108 1.6379 1.7347
September 1.9174 1.7534 1.8264
October 1.8466 1.7540 1.7993
November 1.8019 1.7012 1.7486
December 1.8052 1.6872 1.7668