2018 MOP to TOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.2891 TOP

YEARLY LOW

0.2731 TOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.2815 TOP

2018 MOP to TOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to TOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 3, valuing the pair at 0.2891. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 5, dropping to 0.2731.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0160 TOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2791 to the December average rate of 0.2826, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.27% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.2891 was down 1.25% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.2928, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,446 TOP

2017 Average 1,412 TOP

Yearly Trough Low 1,366 TOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 79.96 TOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.2876

0.2736

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to TOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2779, compared to 0.2852 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0074 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2779

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2852

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 0.0102 TOP (High: 0.2843 / Low: 0.2741). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0014 TOP (High: 0.2868 / Low: 0.2855).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0102

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0014

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0043 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0043

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 0.2864) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2785), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0079 (+2.84%).

2018 Avg (July) 0.2864

2017 Avg (July) 0.2785

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.2821	0.2746	0.2791
February	0.2770	0.2731	0.2748
March	0.2773	0.2738	0.2753
April	0.2788	0.2732	0.2751
May	0.2843	0.2741	0.2802
June	0.2855	0.2808	0.2827
July	0.2891	0.2852	0.2864
August	0.2868	0.2855	0.2859
September	0.2874	0.2855	0.2862
October	0.2866	0.2844	0.2856
November	0.2863	0.2839	0.2846
December	0.2849	0.2798	0.2826