YEARLY HIGH
0.3021 TOP
YEARLY LOW
0.2970 TOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2987 TOP

2026 MOP to TOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to TOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 25, valuing the pair at 0.3021. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 0.2970.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0051 TOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2999 to the December average rate of 0.2981, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.3021 was down 1.69% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.3073, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,511 TOP
2025 Average 1,501 TOP
Yearly Trough Low 1,485 TOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 25.29 TOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.3001
0.2979
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to TOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2988, compared to 0.2981 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0007 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2988
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2981

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 0.0030 TOP (High: 0.3001 / Low: 0.2970). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 TOP (High: 0.2984 / Low: 0.2983).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0030
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0006 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0006

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 0.2999) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.3029), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0031 (-1.01%).

2026 Avg (January) 0.2999
2025 Avg (January) 0.3029

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3021 0.2993 0.2999
February 0.3001 0.2970 0.2992
March 0.3005 0.2976 0.2988
April 0.2989 0.2972 0.2984
May 0.2984 0.2983 0.2984
June 0.2985 0.2976 0.2982
July 0.2989 0.2975 0.2981