2011 MOP to VUV Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.8769 VUV

YEARLY LOW

10.7341 VUV

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.3587 VUV

2011 MOP to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MOP to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 11.8769. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 31, dropping to 10.7341.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1428 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.6991 to the December average rate of 11.5706, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 11.8769 was down 8.21% compared to the 2010 peak of 12.9397, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 59,384 VUV

2010 Average 60,648 VUV

Yearly Trough Low 53,670 VUV

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,714.17 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

11.7702

10.9177

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.4337, compared to 11.2836 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1501 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.4337

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.2836

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was August, with a trading range of 0.5622 VUV (High: 11.3700 / Low: 10.8079). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2518 VUV (High: 11.2083 / Low: 10.9566).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.5622

June Spread (Stable) ±0.2518

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2462 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2462

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 11.6991) against the same month in 2010 (average: 12.0129), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3138 (-2.61%).

2011 Avg (January) 11.6991

2010 Avg (January) 12.0129

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.8769	11.4856	11.6991
February	11.7510	11.4691	11.6375
March	11.7921	11.4764	11.6434
April	11.5643	11.1224	11.3971
May	11.3769	10.9637	11.1606
June	11.2083	10.9566	11.0646
July	11.2162	10.7341	10.9887
August	11.3700	10.8079	11.1140
September	11.4925	10.9772	11.2091
October	11.7107	11.2251	11.4297
November	11.7134	11.1636	11.3896
December	11.7614	11.3332	11.5706