2016 MOP to VUV Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

14.2471 VUV

YEARLY LOW

12.9642 VUV

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.6133 VUV

2016 MOP to VUV Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to VUV exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 26, valuing the pair at 14.2471. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 9, dropping to 12.9642.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2829 VUV. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.0907 to the December average rate of 13.5338, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 14.2471 was down 0.03% compared to the 2015 peak of 14.2515, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 71,236 VUV

2015 Average 67,717 VUV

Yearly Trough Low 64,821 VUV

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,414.64 VUV purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

14.1717

13.2160

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to VUV Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.8349, compared to 13.3917 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4431 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.8349

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.3917

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was May, with a trading range of 0.6673 VUV (High: 14.0676 / Low: 13.4003). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1716 VUV (High: 14.1775 / Low: 14.0059).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.6673

February Spread (Stable) ±0.1716

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.3461 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3461

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 14.0907) against the same month in 2015 (average: 12.9668), the exchange rate shifted by +1.1239 (+8.67%).

2016 Avg (January) 14.0907

2015 Avg (January) 12.9668

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	14.2471	13.9237	14.0907
February	14.1775	14.0059	14.0921
March	14.0891	13.4912	13.7824
April	13.6878	13.3833	13.5132
May	14.0676	13.4003	13.7318
June	14.0239	13.5110	13.7992
July	13.5687	13.3032	13.4531
August	13.5978	13.1954	13.3165
September	13.4097	13.2095	13.2957
October	13.4479	13.2337	13.3449
November	13.5341	12.9642	13.4065
December	13.7556	13.3977	13.5338