YEARLY HIGH
14.5251 XPF
YEARLY LOW
12.4997 XPF
YEARLY AVERAGE
13.1791 XPF

2025 MOP to XPF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the MOP to XPF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 14.5251. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 1, dropping to 12.4997.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.0255 XPF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.3805 to the December average rate of 12.7091, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 14.5251 was up 0.79% compared to the 2024 peak of 14.4120, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 72,626 XPF
2024 Average 68,628 XPF
Yearly Trough Low 62,498 XPF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,127.37 XPF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

14.5553
12.4578
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to XPF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.6204, compared to 12.7379 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8825 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.6204
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.7379

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was April, with a trading range of 0.8123 XPF (High: 13.7800 / Low: 12.9678). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1511 XPF (High: 12.9758 / Low: 12.8247).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.8123
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1511

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.5208 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5208

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2025: 14.2925) against the same month in 2024 (average: 13.7202), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5724 (+4.17%).

2025 Avg (February) 14.2925
2024 Avg (February) 13.7202

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.5207 14.1555 14.3805
February 14.5251 14.1725 14.2925
March 14.3603 13.6332 13.8033
April 13.7800 12.9678 13.2825
May 13.4255 12.9800 13.1623
June 13.0183 12.5204 12.8011
July 12.9265 12.4997 12.6326
August 12.9363 12.5936 12.7109
September 12.7707 12.5341 12.6880
October 12.8819 12.6724 12.7984
November 12.9758 12.8247 12.8884
December 12.8199 12.6328 12.7091