YEARLY HIGH
13.0165 XPF
YEARLY LOW
12.3677 XPF
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.7334 XPF

2026 MOP to XPF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to XPF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 25, valuing the pair at 13.0165. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 12.3677.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6488 XPF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.6658 to the December average rate of 12.9397, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.16% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 13.0165 was down 10.39% compared to the 2025 peak of 14.5251, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 65,082 XPF
2025 Average 65,864 XPF
Yearly Trough Low 61,838 XPF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,243.80 XPF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

12.9796
12.5005
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to XPF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.6990, compared to 12.9397 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2407 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.6990
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.9397

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 0.4353 XPF (High: 12.8030 / Low: 12.3677). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1012 XPF (High: 12.9824 / Low: 12.8812).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4353
July Spread (Stable) ±0.1012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1534 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1534

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2026: 12.8441) against the same month in 2025 (average: 12.8011), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0429 (+0.34%).

2026 Avg (June) 12.8441
2025 Avg (June) 12.8011

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 12.8030 12.3677 12.6658
February 12.6104 12.4275 12.5404
March 12.9457 12.6122 12.8077
April 12.8711 12.5237 12.6544
May 12.7192 12.6065 12.6816
June 13.0165 12.6962 12.8441
July 12.9824 12.8812 12.9397