YEARLY HIGH
0.3809 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.3228 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.3412 BAM

2011 ARS to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the ARS to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.3809. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 29, dropping to 0.3228.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0581 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3682 to the December average rate of 0.3465, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.89% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.3809 was down 8.76% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.4175, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,905 BAM
2010 Average 1,890 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 1,614 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 290.37 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.3722
0.3240
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.3453, compared to 0.3372 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0081 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.3453
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.3372

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 0.0255 BAM (High: 0.3519 / Low: 0.3264). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0098 BAM (High: 0.3616 / Low: 0.3518).

October Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0255
February Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0098

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0131 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0131

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.3682) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.3609), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0073 (+2.03%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.3682
2010 Avg (January) 0.3609

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 0.3809 0.3571 0.3682
February 0.3616 0.3518 0.3568
March 0.3518 0.3408 0.3465
April 0.3405 0.3232 0.3334
May 0.3419 0.3231 0.3343
June 0.3388 0.3265 0.3323
July 0.3414 0.3269 0.3328
August 0.3337 0.3228 0.3280
September 0.3463 0.3251 0.3382
October 0.3519 0.3264 0.3384
November 0.3471 0.3342 0.3390
December 0.3523 0.3379 0.3465