YEARLY HIGH
0.1216 BAM
YEARLY LOW
0.0851 BAM
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1054 BAM

2017 ARS to BAM Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the ARS to BAM exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 10, valuing the pair at 0.1216. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.0851.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0365 BAM. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1158 to the December average rate of 0.0933, the exchange rate registered a net change of -19.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 0.1216 was down 12.53% compared to the 2016 peak of 0.1390, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 608 BAM
2016 Average 600 BAM
Yearly Trough Low 425 BAM
Transaction Impact: A difference of 182.57 BAM purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

0.1217
0.0907
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to BAM Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.1153, compared to 0.0955 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0198 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.1153
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.0955

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was December, with a trading range of 0.0113 BAM (High: 0.0964 / Low: 0.0851). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0019 BAM (High: 0.0963 / Low: 0.0944).

December Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0113
November Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0019

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0094 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0094

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2017: 0.1191) against the same month in 2016 (average: 0.1199), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0008 (-0.64%).

2017 Avg (April) 0.1191
2016 Avg (April) 0.1199

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1179 0.1140 0.1158
February 0.1201 0.1151 0.1180
March 0.1209 0.1154 0.1179
April 0.1216 0.1158 0.1191
May 0.1176 0.1076 0.1127
June 0.1100 0.1030 0.1083
July 0.1040 0.0935 0.0989
August 0.0976 0.0933 0.0951
September 0.0966 0.0941 0.0952
October 0.0961 0.0938 0.0953
November 0.0963 0.0944 0.0953
December 0.0964 0.0851 0.0933