YEARLY HIGH
41.5533 DJF
YEARLY LOW
36.1110 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
39.2790 DJF

2012 ARS to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ARS to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 41.5533. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 36.1110.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.4422 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 41.2898 to the December average rate of 36.4405, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 41.5533 was down 7.16% compared to the 2011 peak of 44.7562, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 207,766 DJF
2011 Average 215,447 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 180,555 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 27,211.21 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

41.7748
35.9555
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 40.7090, compared to 37.8489 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 2.8602 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 40.7090
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 37.8489

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was December, with a trading range of 0.7995 DJF (High: 36.9106 / Low: 36.1110). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3195 DJF (High: 41.2230 / Low: 40.9034).

December Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.7995
February Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.3195

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.8165 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8165

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 41.2898) against the same month in 2011 (average: 44.6601), the exchange rate shifted by -3.3702 (-7.55%).

2012 Avg (January) 41.2898
2011 Avg (January) 44.6601

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 41.5533 41.0704 41.2898
February 41.2230 40.9034 41.0439
March 41.3435 40.8537 41.0277
April 41.0499 40.4464 40.7058
May 40.6588 39.9637 40.2477
June 40.4145 39.6186 39.9394
July 39.4674 38.8052 39.1229
August 38.9491 38.4802 38.6436
September 38.4464 37.8991 38.1341
October 37.8656 37.3186 37.6471
November 37.3226 36.8108 37.1052
December 36.9106 36.1110 36.4405