2012 ARS to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

41.5533 DJF

YEARLY LOW

36.1110 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

39.2790 DJF

2012 ARS to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ARS to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 41.5533. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 36.1110.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.4422 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 41.2898 to the December average rate of 36.4405, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 41.5533 was down 7.16% compared to the 2011 peak of 44.7562, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 207,766 DJF

2011 Average 215,447 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 180,555 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 27,211.21 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

41.7748

35.9555

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 40.7090, compared to 37.8489 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.8602 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 40.7090

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 37.8489

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was December, with a trading range of 0.7995 DJF (High: 36.9106 / Low: 36.1110). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3195 DJF (High: 41.2230 / Low: 40.9034).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.7995

February Spread (Stable) ±0.3195

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.8165 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8165

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 41.2898) against the same month in 2011 (average: 44.6601), the exchange rate shifted by -3.3702 (-7.55%).

2012 Avg (January) 41.2898

2011 Avg (January) 44.6601

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	41.5533	41.0704	41.2898
February	41.2230	40.9034	41.0439
March	41.3435	40.8537	41.0277
April	41.0499	40.4464	40.7058
May	40.6588	39.9637	40.2477
June	40.4145	39.6186	39.9394
July	39.4674	38.8052	39.1229
August	38.9491	38.4802	38.6436
September	38.4464	37.8991	38.1341
October	37.8656	37.3186	37.6471
November	37.3226	36.8108	37.1052
December	36.9106	36.1110	36.4405