YEARLY HIGH
0.2200 DJF
YEARLY LOW
0.1725 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1953 DJF

2024 ARS to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the ARS to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 0.2200. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 0.1725.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0475 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2176 to the December average rate of 0.1744, the exchange rate registered a net change of -19.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 0.2200 was down 78.13% compared to the 2023 peak of 1.0059, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,100 DJF
2023 Average 3,397 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 862 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 237.41 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

0.2219
0.1701
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2070, compared to 0.1835 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0236 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2070
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1835

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was May, with a trading range of 0.0056 DJF (High: 0.2036 / Low: 0.1980). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0034 DJF (High: 0.1869 / Low: 0.1835).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0056
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0034

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2024. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0043 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0043

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2024: 0.2176) against the same month in 2023 (average: 0.9766), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7591 (-77.72%).

2024 Avg (January) 0.2176
2023 Avg (January) 0.9766

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2200 0.2151 0.2176
February 0.2153 0.2110 0.2133
March 0.2112 0.2073 0.2090
April 0.2072 0.2026 0.2049
May 0.2036 0.1980 0.2007
June 0.1993 0.1950 0.1968
July 0.1950 0.1907 0.1929
August 0.1911 0.1868 0.1888
September 0.1869 0.1835 0.1853
October 0.1842 0.1795 0.1816
November 0.1803 0.1757 0.1780
December 0.1759 0.1725 0.1744