2016 ARS to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.7250 DJF

YEARLY LOW

11.1254 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.0631 DJF

2016 ARS to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 13.7250. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 11.1254.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5997 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.1069 to the December average rate of 11.2676, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 13.7250 was down 34.56% compared to the 2015 peak of 20.9750, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 68,625 DJF

2015 Average 96,510 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 55,627 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,998.26 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

13.2908

11.0837

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.4272, compared to 11.6990 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7282 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.4272

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.6990

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 1.3682 DJF (High: 12.6208 / Low: 11.2526). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2069 DJF (High: 11.7840 / Low: 11.5772).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.3682

October Spread (Stable) ±0.2069

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.0820 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0820

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 13.1069) against the same month in 2015 (average: 20.6942), the exchange rate shifted by -7.5873 (-36.66%).

2016 Avg (January) 13.1069

2015 Avg (January) 20.6942

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.7250	12.7429	13.1069
February	12.6208	11.2526	12.0248
March	12.2947	11.2866	11.9264
April	12.6571	12.0211	12.3470
May	12.7839	12.4547	12.5774
June	12.9344	11.6771	12.5808
July	12.1709	11.7766	11.9053
August	12.1057	11.7935	11.9541
September	11.8961	11.5620	11.7548
October	11.7840	11.5772	11.7022
November	11.8640	11.3035	11.6101
December	11.5543	11.1254	11.2676