YEARLY HIGH
36.1801 DJF
YEARLY LOW
27.2899 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
32.6102 DJF

2013 ARS to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the ARS to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 36.1801. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 27.2899.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.8902 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 35.8701 to the December average rate of 28.1260, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 36.1801 was down 12.93% compared to the 2012 peak of 41.5533, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 180,901 DJF
2012 Average 196,363 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 136,450 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 44,451.02 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

36.6445
27.3516
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 34.6351, compared to 30.5853 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.0498 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 34.6351
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 30.5853

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was December, with a trading range of 1.7240 DJF (High: 29.0139 / Low: 27.2899). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5346 DJF (High: 34.6724 / Low: 34.1378).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.7240
April Spread (Stable) ±0.5346

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 1.4059 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4059

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 35.8701) against the same month in 2012 (average: 41.2898), the exchange rate shifted by -5.4197 (-13.13%).

2013 Avg (January) 35.8701
2012 Avg (January) 41.2898

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 36.1801 35.5951 35.8701
February 35.6900 35.1069 35.4390
March 35.1552 34.6046 34.8599
April 34.6724 34.1378 34.4171
May 34.2416 33.5968 33.9056
June 33.6441 32.9682 33.3192
July 33.0447 32.3309 32.6777
August 32.3449 31.2980 31.8356
September 31.3135 30.6530 31.0024
October 30.6204 29.9493 30.3380
November 29.9139 29.0106 29.5320
December 29.0139 27.2899 28.1260