YEARLY HIGH
0.1725 DJF
YEARLY LOW
0.1195 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.1454 DJF

2025 ARS to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the ARS to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 0.1725. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 25, dropping to 0.1195.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0530 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1708 to the December average rate of 0.1229, the exchange rate registered a net change of -28.04% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 0.1725 was down 21.57% compared to the 2024 peak of 0.2200, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 863 DJF
2024 Average 976 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 598 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 265.10 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

0.1756
0.1181
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1618, compared to 0.1291 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0326 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1618
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1291

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was July, with a trading range of 0.0286 DJF (High: 0.1583 / Low: 0.1297). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0022 DJF (High: 0.1244 / Low: 0.1221).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0286
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0022

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2025. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0087 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0087

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2025: 0.1708) against the same month in 2024 (average: 0.2176), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0468 (-21.50%).

2025 Avg (January) 0.1708
2024 Avg (January) 0.2176

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.1725 0.1691 0.1708
February 0.1699 0.1669 0.1683
March 0.1680 0.1656 0.1668
April 0.1661 0.1487 0.1589
May 0.1605 0.1486 0.1549
June 0.1557 0.1477 0.1508
July 0.1583 0.1297 0.1421
August 0.1377 0.1302 0.1341
September 0.1329 0.1205 0.1269
October 0.1319 0.1195 0.1241
November 0.1282 0.1202 0.1247
December 0.1244 0.1221 0.1229