2021 ARS to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.1219 DJF

YEARLY LOW

1.7309 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.8778 DJF

2021 ARS to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 2.1219. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 1.7309.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3909 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.0744 to the December average rate of 1.7483, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 2.1219 was down 28.94% compared to the 2020 peak of 2.9858, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 10,609 DJF

2020 Average 12,741 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 8,655 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,954.59 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

2.1070

1.7157

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.9535, compared to 1.8021 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1514 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.9535

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.8021

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was January, with a trading range of 0.0827 DJF (High: 2.1219 / Low: 2.0392). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0191 DJF (High: 1.8219 / Low: 1.8029).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0827

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0191

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0668 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0668

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 2.0744) against the same month in 2020 (average: 2.9709), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8966 (-30.18%).

2021 Avg (January) 2.0744

2020 Avg (January) 2.9709

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.1219	2.0392	2.0744
February	2.0313	1.9807	2.0075
March	1.9764	1.9350	1.9555
April	1.9466	1.9041	1.9207
May	1.9139	1.8809	1.8931
June	1.8813	1.8608	1.8701
July	1.8592	1.8397	1.8501
August	1.8440	1.8198	1.8325
September	1.8219	1.8029	1.8125
October	1.8050	1.7856	1.7950
November	1.7839	1.7629	1.7745
December	1.7627	1.7309	1.7483