YEARLY HIGH
4.8233 DJF
YEARLY LOW
2.9557 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.8076 DJF

2019 ARS to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the ARS to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 11, valuing the pair at 4.8233. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 14, dropping to 2.9557.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8677 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.7390 to the December average rate of 2.9767, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.19% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4.8233 was down 50.37% compared to the 2018 peak of 9.7192, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,117 DJF
2018 Average 33,949 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 14,778 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,338.35 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4.9152
2.8005
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3137, compared to 3.3015 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0122 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3137
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.3015

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 1.0640 DJF (High: 4.0197 / Low: 2.9557). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0154 DJF (High: 2.9838 / Low: 2.9684).

August Spread (Volatile) ±1.0640
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0154

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.7406 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7406

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 4.7390) against the same month in 2018 (average: 9.4074), the exchange rate shifted by -4.6684 (-49.62%).

2019 Avg (January) 4.7390
2018 Avg (January) 9.4074

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.8233 3.9472 4.7390
February 4.7927 4.4886 4.6449
March 4.4710 4.0574 4.3162
April 4.2787 3.8842 4.1354
May 4.0101 3.9318 3.9705
June 4.2025 3.9644 4.0760
July 4.2861 4.0586 4.1983
August 4.0197 2.9557 3.4577
September 3.2199 2.9923 3.1463
October 3.1010 2.9705 3.0462
November 2.9951 2.9701 2.9838
December 2.9838 2.9684 2.9767