YEARLY HIGH
13.7250 DJF
YEARLY LOW
11.1254 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.0631 DJF

2016 ARS to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 13.7250. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 11.1254.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5997 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.1069 to the December average rate of 11.2676, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.03% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 13.7250 was down 34.56% compared to the 2015 peak of 20.9750, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 68,625 DJF
2015 Average 96,510 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 55,627 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,998.26 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

13.2908
11.0837
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.4272, compared to 11.6990 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7282 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.4272
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.6990

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 1.3682 DJF (High: 12.6208 / Low: 11.2526). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2069 DJF (High: 11.7840 / Low: 11.5772).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.3682
October Spread (Stable) ±0.2069

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.0820 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.0820

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 13.1069) against the same month in 2015 (average: 20.6942), the exchange rate shifted by -7.5873 (-36.66%).

2016 Avg (January) 13.1069
2015 Avg (January) 20.6942

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 13.7250 12.7429 13.1069
February 12.6208 11.2526 12.0248
March 12.2947 11.2866 11.9264
April 12.6571 12.0211 12.3470
May 12.7839 12.4547 12.5774
June 12.9344 11.6771 12.5808
July 12.1709 11.7766 11.9053
August 12.1057 11.7935 11.9541
September 11.8961 11.5620 11.7548
October 11.7840 11.5772 11.7022
November 11.8640 11.3035 11.6101
December 11.5543 11.1254 11.2676