YEARLY HIGH
20.9750 DJF
YEARLY LOW
13.3469 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
19.3115 DJF

2015 ARS to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the ARS to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 20.9750. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 13.3469.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.6281 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.6942 to the December average rate of 16.0112, the exchange rate registered a net change of -22.63% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 20.9750 was down 23.25% compared to the 2014 peak of 27.3283, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 104,875 DJF
2014 Average 110,365 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 66,734 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 38,140.53 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

21.1625
15.5429
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.1497, compared to 18.4733 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.6764 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.1497
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.4733

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 4.9895 DJF (High: 18.3364 / Low: 13.3469). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2304 DJF (High: 19.3470 / Low: 19.1166).

December Spread (Volatile) ±4.9895
August Spread (Stable) ±0.2304

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2015. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 2.4841 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.4841

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 20.6942) against the same month in 2014 (average: 25.6251), the exchange rate shifted by -4.9309 (-19.24%).

2015 Avg (January) 20.6942
2014 Avg (January) 25.6251

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 20.9750 20.5155 20.6942
February 20.6720 20.3743 20.5197
March 20.4473 20.1021 20.2526
April 20.3336 19.8987 20.0433
May 19.9602 19.6845 19.8063
June 19.6829 19.3816 19.5823
July 19.5258 19.2831 19.4136
August 19.3470 19.1166 19.2212
September 19.1030 18.8284 18.9519
October 18.9129 18.6435 18.7465
November 18.7669 18.3450 18.4954
December 18.3364 13.3469 16.0112