YEARLY HIGH
27.3283 DJF
YEARLY LOW
20.7612 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
22.0730 DJF

2014 ARS to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the ARS to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 27.3283. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 8, dropping to 20.7612.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.5672 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 25.6251 to the December average rate of 20.8749, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 27.3283 was down 24.47% compared to the 2013 peak of 36.1801, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 136,642 DJF
2013 Average 162,965 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 103,806 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 32,835.89 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

26.1001
20.3998
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 22.8846, compared to 21.2615 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.6231 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 22.8846
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 21.2615

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 5.1364 DJF (High: 27.3283 / Low: 22.1919). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1989 DJF (High: 21.0802 / Low: 20.8813).

January Spread (Volatile) ±5.1364
November Spread (Stable) ±0.1989

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 2.9672 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.9672

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 25.6251) against the same month in 2013 (average: 35.8701), the exchange rate shifted by -10.2450 (-28.56%).

2014 Avg (January) 25.6251
2013 Avg (January) 35.8701

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 27.3283 22.1919 25.6251
February 22.9211 22.1739 22.6579
March 22.6627 22.1459 22.4668
April 22.4426 22.1567 22.3163
May 22.4118 22.0651 22.2468
June 22.1572 21.8930 21.9944
July 22.0375 21.7828 21.9215
August 21.7869 21.2125 21.5133
September 21.3070 21.0244 21.2200
October 21.1556 20.9369 21.0622
November 21.0802 20.8813 20.9770
December 21.0742 20.7612 20.8749