YEARLY HIGH
11.8220 DJF
YEARLY LOW
9.3202 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
10.8360 DJF

2017 ARS to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the ARS to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 17, valuing the pair at 11.8220. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 9.3202.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.5018 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.2484 to the December average rate of 10.0923, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 11.8220 was down 13.87% compared to the 2016 peak of 13.7250, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 59,110 DJF
2016 Average 60,316 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 46,601 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,509.19 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

11.8149
9.9357
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.4043, compared to 10.2677 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1366 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.4043
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.2677

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was December, with a trading range of 1.0680 DJF (High: 10.3882 / Low: 9.3202). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2021 DJF (High: 10.3370 / Low: 10.1349).

December Spread (Volatile) ±1.0680
November Spread (Stable) ±0.2021

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.6931 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6931

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2017: 11.6583) against the same month in 2016 (average: 12.3470), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6888 (-5.58%).

2017 Avg (April) 11.6583
2016 Avg (April) 12.3470

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 11.3344 11.0543 11.2484
February 11.6487 11.3309 11.4904
March 11.6996 11.4413 11.5289
April 11.8220 11.5340 11.6583
May 11.7096 11.0591 11.3916
June 11.2714 10.7541 11.1083
July 10.8596 9.9951 10.4152
August 10.5153 10.0648 10.2486
September 10.5212 10.1834 10.3731
October 10.3194 10.1029 10.2470
November 10.3370 10.1349 10.2302
December 10.3882 9.3202 10.0923