YEARLY HIGH
0.7657 MAD
YEARLY LOW
0.6256 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.6653 MAD

2016 ARS to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 0.7657. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 7, dropping to 0.6256.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1402 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.7308 to the December average rate of 0.6385, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.7657 was down 33.59% compared to the 2015 peak of 1.1531, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,829 MAD
2015 Average 5,295 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 3,128 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 700.94 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.7400
0.6293
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.6818, compared to 0.6489 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0329 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.6818
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.6489

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0774 MAD (High: 0.7037 / Low: 0.6263). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0191 MAD (High: 0.6526 / Low: 0.6335).

February Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0774
September Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0191

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0691 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0691

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.7308) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1.0895), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3587 (-32.93%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.7308
2015 Avg (January) 1.0895

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Month High Low Average
January 0.7657 0.7103 0.7308
February 0.7037 0.6263 0.6616
March 0.6726 0.6287 0.6549
April 0.6901 0.6517 0.6710
May 0.7015 0.6721 0.6851
June 0.7068 0.6447 0.6872
July 0.6720 0.6486 0.6583
August 0.6654 0.6448 0.6557
September 0.6526 0.6335 0.6441
October 0.6541 0.6332 0.6470
November 0.6601 0.6387 0.6499
December 0.6581 0.6256 0.6385