YEARLY HIGH
0.1059 MAD
YEARLY LOW
0.0901 MAD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0948 MAD

2021 ARS to MAD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the ARS to MAD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 0.1059. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 0.0901.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0158 MAD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1037 to the December average rate of 0.0909, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.35% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.1059 was down 34.25% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.1610, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 529 MAD
2020 Average 681 MAD
Yearly Trough Low 450 MAD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 78.94 MAD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.1050
0.0896
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to MAD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 0.0979, compared to 0.0917 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.0062 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 0.0979
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 0.0917

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.0039 MAD (High: 0.0990 / Low: 0.0951). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 MAD (High: 0.0918 / Low: 0.0911).

April Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.0039
September Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0028 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0028

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 0.1037) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.1603), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0567 (-35.34%).

2021 Avg (January) 0.1037
2020 Avg (January) 0.1603

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Month High Low Average
January 0.1059 0.1025 0.1037
February 0.1025 0.0990 0.1009
March 0.1000 0.0979 0.0989
April 0.0990 0.0951 0.0967
May 0.0959 0.0933 0.0942
June 0.0935 0.0926 0.0931
July 0.0934 0.0922 0.0930
August 0.0929 0.0914 0.0923
September 0.0918 0.0911 0.0913
October 0.0919 0.0906 0.0913
November 0.0920 0.0905 0.0913
December 0.0915 0.0901 0.0909