YEARLY HIGH
21.3848 RSD
YEARLY LOW
17.3562 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
19.3415 RSD

2012 ARS to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the ARS to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 24, valuing the pair at 21.3848. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 17.3562.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.0286 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 18.8366 to the December average rate of 17.7134, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 21.3848 was up 3.51% compared to the 2011 peak of 20.6588, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 106,924 RSD
2011 Average 88,619 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 86,781 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,142.92 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

21.1496
17.4010
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 19.4404, compared to 19.2425 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.1979 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 19.4404
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 19.2425

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 2.0723 RSD (High: 21.2015 / Low: 19.1292). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3864 RSD (High: 19.4272 / Low: 19.0408).

May Spread (Volatile) ┬▒2.0723
April Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.3864

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 1.3032 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3032

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2012: 20.8372) against the same month in 2011 (average: 17.3217), the exchange rate shifted by +3.5155 (+20.30%).

2012 Avg (July) 20.8372
2011 Avg (July) 17.3217

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 19.1343 18.5385 18.8366
February 19.0066 18.4330 18.8063
March 19.4968 19.0459 19.2436
April 19.4272 19.0408 19.2569
May 21.2015 19.1292 19.9238
June 21.1774 20.0761 20.5751
July 21.3848 20.1553 20.8372
August 21.2225 20.2613 20.6487
September 20.3100 18.8317 19.3456
October 19.0701 18.0722 18.5600
November 18.6011 17.8936 18.3504
December 18.1253 17.3562 17.7134