YEARLY HIGH
6.0812 RUB
YEARLY LOW
3.7987 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5568 RUB

2016 ARS to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the ARS to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 6.0812. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 13, dropping to 3.7987.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2825 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.6465 to the December average rate of 3.9166, the exchange rate registered a net change of -30.64% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.0812 was down 24.92% compared to the 2015 peak of 8.0996, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30,406 RUB
2015 Average 33,159 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 18,994 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,412.64 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.8195
3.7436
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 4.9105, compared to 4.2032 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.7073 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 4.9105
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 4.2032

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.8074 RUB (High: 5.5817 / Low: 4.7743). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0904 RUB (High: 4.1774 / Low: 4.0870).

February Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.8074
October Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0904

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.5394 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5394

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 5.6465) against the same month in 2015 (average: 7.4542), the exchange rate shifted by -1.8078 (-24.25%).

2016 Avg (January) 5.6465
2015 Avg (January) 7.4542

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

рдкреНрд░рддреНрдпреЗрдХ рдХреЕрд▓реЗрдВрдбрд░ рдорд╣рд┐рдиреНрдпрд╛рд╕рд╛рдареА рд╕рд╛рдВрдЦреНрдпрд┐рдХреАрдп рд╕рд╛рд░рд╛рдВрд╢.

Month High Low Average
January 6.0812 5.3939 5.6465
February 5.5817 4.7743 5.2275
March 4.8519 4.5745 4.6881
April 4.7436 4.5390 4.6265
May 4.7820 4.5691 4.6685
June 4.8066 4.2233 4.6058
July 4.4346 4.1791 4.3206
August 4.4845 4.2811 4.3724
September 4.4087 4.1037 4.2733
October 4.1774 4.0870 4.1252
November 4.3615 4.0735 4.2109
December 4.0555 3.7987 3.9166