YEARLY HIGH
3.1295 RUB
YEARLY LOW
1.5895 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.3637 RUB

2018 ARS to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the ARS to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 2, valuing the pair at 3.1295. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 30, dropping to 1.5895.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5401 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.9831 to the December average rate of 1.7885, the exchange rate registered a net change of -40.05% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 3.1295 was down 18.92% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.8599, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 ARS based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 15,648 RUB
2017 Average 17,655 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 7,947 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,700.37 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

3.1266
1.6308
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

ARS to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 2.7826, compared to 1.9447 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (JanтАУJun) by a margin of 0.8379 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 2.7826
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 1.9447

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 0.6705 RUB (High: 2.4321 / Low: 1.7616). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0784 RUB (High: 2.8672 / Low: 2.7888).

August Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.6705
March Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0784

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.4809 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4809

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 2.9831) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.7685), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7854 (-20.84%).

2018 Avg (January) 2.9831
2017 Avg (January) 3.7685

рдорд╛рд╕рд┐рдХ рд╡рд┐рд╢реНрд▓реЗрд╖рдг

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Month High Low Average
January 3.1295 2.8567 2.9831
February 2.9442 2.7595 2.8682
March 2.8672 2.7888 2.8262
April 3.1236 2.8345 3.0020
May 3.0629 2.4744 2.6556
June 2.4965 2.1741 2.3606
July 2.3061 2.1754 2.2761
August 2.4321 1.7616 2.2364
September 1.8878 1.5895 1.7555
October 1.8319 1.6459 1.7802
November 1.9200 1.7170 1.8318
December 1.8451 1.7423 1.7885