YEARLY HIGH
12.9310 KES
YEARLY LOW
12.1701 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
12.5332 KES

2021 SVC to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SVC to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 24, valuing the pair at 12.9310. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 10, dropping to 12.1701.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7609 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.5567 to the December average rate of 12.9105, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.82% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 12.9310 was up 1.41% compared to the 2020 peak of 12.7516, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SVC based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 64,655 KES
2020 Average 60,854 KES
Yearly Trough Low 60,850 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,804.66 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

12.9734
12.2187
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SVC to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: JanтАУJun) was 12.4284, compared to 12.6381 in the second half (H2: JulтАУDec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (JulтАУDec) by a margin of 0.2097 points.

H1 Avg (JanтАУJun) 12.4284
H2 Avg (JulтАУDec) 12.6381

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.2792 KES (High: 12.4843 / Low: 12.2051). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0278 KES (High: 12.3360 / Low: 12.3083).

April Spread (Volatile) ┬▒0.2792
June Spread (Stable) ┬▒0.0278

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.1963 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1963

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 12.9105) against the same month in 2020 (average: 12.6275), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2830 (+2.24%).

2021 Avg (December) 12.9105
2020 Avg (December) 12.6275

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Month High Low Average
January 12.6039 12.4795 12.5567
February 12.5896 12.5012 12.5311
March 12.5592 12.5107 12.5384
April 12.4843 12.2051 12.3420
May 12.3718 12.1701 12.2816
June 12.3360 12.3083 12.3204
July 12.4189 12.3258 12.3637
August 12.5601 12.4096 12.4920
September 12.6284 12.5593 12.5892
October 12.7148 12.6314 12.6736
November 12.8620 12.7201 12.7998
December 12.9310 12.8691 12.9105