2016 MRO to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.5755 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.4944 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5065 DJF

2016 MRO to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MRO to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 0.5755. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 9, dropping to 0.4944.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0811 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5317 to the December average rate of 0.4983, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.5755 was down 6.53% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.6157, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,877 DJF

2015 Average 2,876 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 2,472 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 405.51 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.5351

0.4945

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5145, compared to 0.4986 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0159 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5145

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4986

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0598 DJF (High: 0.5755 / Low: 0.5157). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0031 DJF (High: 0.4998 / Low: 0.4967).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0598

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0031

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0120 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0120

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.5317) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6106), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0789 (-12.93%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.5317

2015 Avg (January) 0.6106

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5755	0.5157	0.5317
February	0.5397	0.5148	0.5197
March	0.5199	0.5115	0.5169
April	0.5195	0.5109	0.5141
May	0.5178	0.4980	0.5050
June	0.5009	0.4968	0.4995
July	0.5012	0.4961	0.4995
August	0.5007	0.4955	0.4991
September	0.4998	0.4967	0.4986
October	0.5016	0.4957	0.4983
November	0.5002	0.4944	0.4978
December	0.5004	0.4949	0.4983