YEARLY HIGH
0.8560 DJF
YEARLY LOW
0.4955 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5013 DJF

2018 MRO to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MRO to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 7, valuing the pair at 0.8560. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 30, dropping to 0.4955.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3605 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5036 to the December average rate of 0.4987, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.97% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.8560 was up 68.75% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.5073, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,280 DJF
2017 Average 2,484 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 2,478 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,802.46 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.5242
0.4952
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.4997, compared to 0.5028 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0031 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.4997
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5028

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 0.3581 DJF (High: 0.8560 / Low: 0.4979). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 DJF (High: 0.4987 / Low: 0.4986).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.3581
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0231 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0231

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 0.5218) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.4954), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0264 (+5.32%).

2018 Avg (October) 0.5218
2017 Avg (October) 0.4954

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5064 0.5020 0.5036
February 0.5027 0.4972 0.4996
March 0.4989 0.4966 0.4978
April 0.5004 0.4955 0.4976
May 0.5007 0.4969 0.4994
June 0.5008 0.4993 0.5003
July 0.5008 0.4980 0.4998
August 0.5008 0.4979 0.4993
September 0.4994 0.4979 0.4986
October 0.8560 0.4979 0.5218
November 0.4987 0.4986 0.4986
December 0.4987 0.4986 0.4987