YEARLY HIGH
0.0724 HNL
YEARLY LOW
0.0634 HNL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0649 HNL

2016 MRO to HNL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MRO to HNL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 0.0724. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 20, dropping to 0.0634.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0090 HNL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0671 to the December average rate of 0.0651, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0724 was down 4.56% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0759, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 362 HNL
2015 Average 351 HNL
Yearly Trough Low 317 HNL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 44.95 HNL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0675
0.0635
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to HNL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0654, compared to 0.0644 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0654
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0644

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0073 HNL (High: 0.0724 / Low: 0.0651). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 HNL (High: 0.0646 / Low: 0.0641).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0073
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0011 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0011

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.0671) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0723), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0052 (-7.16%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.0671
2015 Avg (January) 0.0723

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0724 0.0651 0.0671
February 0.0686 0.0654 0.0660
March 0.0661 0.0653 0.0658
April 0.0660 0.0649 0.0653
May 0.0659 0.0634 0.0642
June 0.0641 0.0635 0.0638
July 0.0645 0.0640 0.0642
August 0.0646 0.0641 0.0643
September 0.0644 0.0640 0.0642
October 0.0645 0.0637 0.0641
November 0.0649 0.0636 0.0644
December 0.0655 0.0649 0.0651