2016 MRO to RSD Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.3670 RSD

YEARLY LOW

0.3042 RSD

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.3170 RSD

2016 MRO to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MRO to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 0.3670. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 6, dropping to 0.3042.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0627 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.3376 to the December average rate of 0.3268, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.21% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.3670 was down 6.19% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.3912, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,835 RSD

2015 Average 1,761 RSD

Yearly Trough Low 1,521 RSD

Transaction Impact: A difference of 313.72 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.3405

0.3056

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.3190, compared to 0.3151 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0040 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.3190

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.3151

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.0392 RSD (High: 0.3670 / Low: 0.3277). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0031 RSD (High: 0.3105 / Low: 0.3074).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0392

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0031

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0141 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0141

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 0.3376) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.3616), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0240 (-6.63%).

2016 Avg (January) 0.3376

2015 Avg (January) 0.3616

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.3670	0.3277	0.3376
February	0.3310	0.3169	0.3235
March	0.3304	0.3149	0.3218
April	0.3165	0.3089	0.3133
May	0.3127	0.3047	0.3092
June	0.3152	0.3042	0.3085
July	0.3166	0.3112	0.3137
August	0.3125	0.3053	0.3093
September	0.3105	0.3074	0.3088
October	0.3165	0.3079	0.3128
November	0.3264	0.3093	0.3189
December	0.3319	0.3207	0.3268