YEARLY HIGH
0.4961 RSD
YEARLY LOW
0.2659 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.2824 RSD

2018 MRO to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MRO to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 8, valuing the pair at 0.4961. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 15, dropping to 0.2659.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2302 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.2740 to the December average rate of 0.2912, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.29% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.4961 was up 50.11% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.3305, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MRO based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,480 RSD
2017 Average 1,496 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 1,329 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,150.82 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.3054
0.2662
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MRO to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.2749, compared to 0.2899 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0151 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.2749
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.2899

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was October, with a trading range of 0.2102 RSD (High: 0.4961 / Low: 0.2858). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0034 RSD (High: 0.2850 / Low: 0.2817).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.2102
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0034

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0107 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0107

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 0.3021) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.2811), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0211 (+7.49%).

2018 Avg (October) 0.3021
2017 Avg (October) 0.2811

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.2812 0.2686 0.2740
February 0.2730 0.2659 0.2696
March 0.2717 0.2670 0.2695
April 0.2744 0.2676 0.2709
May 0.2875 0.2749 0.2810
June 0.2869 0.2811 0.2842
July 0.2850 0.2817 0.2835
August 0.2909 0.2830 0.2870
September 0.2869 0.2808 0.2843
October 0.4961 0.2858 0.3021
November 0.2936 0.2893 0.2915
December 0.2935 0.2890 0.2912