YEARLY HIGH
5.1131 DJF
YEARLY LOW
4.9070 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.0027 DJF

2016 MUR to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MUR to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 16, valuing the pair at 5.1131. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 31, dropping to 4.9070.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2061 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.9266 to the December average rate of 4.9663, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.81% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 5.1131 was down 9.34% compared to the 2015 peak of 5.6397, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25,566 DJF
2015 Average 25,327 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 24,535 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,030.59 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

5.0750
4.9131
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MUR to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.0021, compared to 5.0033 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0012 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.0021
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.0033

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 0.1340 DJF (High: 5.1131 / Low: 4.9792). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0287 DJF (High: 5.0176 / Low: 4.9889).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1340
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0287

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0378 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0378

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2016: 5.0500) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.0217), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0284 (+0.56%).

2016 Avg (August) 5.0500
2015 Avg (August) 5.0217

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.9542 4.9070 4.9266
February 5.0030 4.9175 4.9701
March 5.0399 4.9384 4.9934
April 5.0777 5.0415 5.0615
May 5.0712 5.0144 5.0494
June 5.0336 4.9814 5.0116
July 5.0176 4.9889 5.0081
August 5.1131 4.9792 5.0500
September 5.0471 5.0058 5.0279
October 5.0156 4.9421 4.9915
November 5.0093 4.9469 4.9759
December 4.9939 4.9395 4.9663