YEARLY HIGH
4.8258 BTN
YEARLY LOW
4.1040 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.4270 BTN

2018 MVR to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MVR to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 9, valuing the pair at 4.8258. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 14, dropping to 4.1040.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.7218 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.1308 to the December average rate of 4.5712, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.66% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.8258 was up 8.12% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.4634, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24,129 BTN
2017 Average 21,082 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 20,520 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,608.95 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.8327
4.0670
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.2511, compared to 4.6030 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3519 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.2511
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.6030

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.2458 BTN (High: 4.7534 / Low: 4.5075). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0315 BTN (High: 4.2268 / Low: 4.1953).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2458
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0315

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.1201 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1201

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 4.7689) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.2254), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5435 (+12.86%).

2018 Avg (October) 4.7689
2017 Avg (October) 4.2254

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.1632 4.1040 4.1308
February 4.2159 4.1350 4.1704
March 4.2268 4.1953 4.2091
April 4.3244 4.1738 4.2562
May 4.4017 4.3070 4.3528
June 4.4607 4.3204 4.3872
July 4.4800 4.4172 4.4513
August 4.5893 4.4428 4.5056
September 4.7196 4.5893 4.6721
October 4.8258 4.7241 4.7689
November 4.7534 4.5075 4.6488
December 4.6598 4.5126 4.5712