YEARLY HIGH
4.6968 BTN
YEARLY LOW
4.4237 BTN
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.5562 BTN

2019 MVR to BTN Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MVR to BTN exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 3, valuing the pair at 4.6968. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 6, dropping to 4.4237.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2731 BTN. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5608 to the December average rate of 4.6087, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 4.6968 was down 2.67% compared to the 2018 peak of 4.8258, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MVR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,484 BTN
2018 Average 22,142 BTN
Yearly Trough Low 22,118 BTN
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,365.67 BTN purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

4.6478
4.4310
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MVR to BTN Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5293, compared to 4.5831 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0537 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5293
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5831

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 0.1829 BTN (High: 4.6687 / Low: 4.4859). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0479 BTN (High: 4.4715 / Low: 4.4237).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.1829
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0479

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1045 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1045

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2019: 4.6214) against the same month in 2018 (average: 4.6721), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0507 (-1.09%).

2019 Avg (September) 4.6214
2018 Avg (September) 4.6721

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.6045 4.4980 4.5608
February 4.6309 4.5628 4.5996
March 4.5846 4.4248 4.4950
April 4.5493 4.4369 4.5036
May 4.5847 4.4906 4.5253
June 4.5268 4.4648 4.4918
July 4.4715 4.4237 4.4491
August 4.6687 4.4859 4.5838
September 4.6968 4.5795 4.6214
October 4.6443 4.5777 4.6058
November 4.6778 4.5754 4.6297
December 4.6575 4.5767 4.6087