YEARLY HIGH
77.4059 UGX
YEARLY LOW
43.0895 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
56.4569 UGX

2016 MZN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MZN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 1, valuing the pair at 77.4059. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 3, dropping to 43.0895.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 34.3163 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 74.4096 to the December average rate of 49.3965, the exchange rate registered a net change of -33.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 77.4059 was down 15.94% compared to the 2015 peak of 92.0841, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 387,029 UGX
2015 Average 418,890 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 215,448 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 171,581.63 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

77.4315
41.1689
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MZN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 65.5661, compared to 47.3477 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 18.2184 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 65.5661
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 47.3477

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 8.0174 UGX (High: 77.4059 / Low: 69.3885). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.9429 UGX (High: 45.0325 / Low: 43.0895).

February Spread (Volatile) ±8.0174
October Spread (Stable) ±1.9429

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 5.4106 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -5.4106

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 70.9997) against the same month in 2015 (average: 85.0300), the exchange rate shifted by -14.0303 (-16.50%).

2016 Avg (February) 70.9997
2015 Avg (February) 85.0300

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 77.2983 71.1028 74.4096
February 77.4059 69.3885 70.9997
March 70.3373 65.6375 67.1188
April 66.7179 62.3268 64.3024
May 62.0389 58.7043 60.9884
June 57.8403 53.6004 55.5779
July 53.5448 49.2808 51.5954
August 49.1659 46.2097 47.5830
September 46.2472 43.7019 44.5684
October 45.0325 43.0895 44.1908
November 48.6687 44.8790 46.7523
December 50.7044 48.6137 49.3965