YEARLY HIGH
65.9821 UGX
YEARLY LOW
58.7099 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
61.8656 UGX

2018 MZN to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MZN to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 65.9821. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 19, dropping to 58.7099.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.2722 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 61.6110 to the December average rate of 60.8846, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.18% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 65.9821 was up 6.93% compared to the 2017 peak of 61.7069, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MZN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 329,910 UGX
2017 Average 282,629 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 293,550 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 36,360.93 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

64.9478
58.5442
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MZN to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 61.2803, compared to 62.4509 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1707 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 61.2803
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 62.4509

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 2.8998 UGX (High: 65.4342 / Low: 62.5344). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5306 UGX (High: 63.2136 / Low: 62.6831).

July Spread (Volatile) ±2.8998
September Spread (Stable) ±0.5306

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.8777 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.8777

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 64.4142) against the same month in 2017 (average: 57.6699), the exchange rate shifted by +6.7443 (+11.69%).

2018 Avg (June) 64.4142
2017 Avg (June) 57.6699

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 62.1472 60.2961 61.6110
February 60.2482 59.4692 59.7332
March 60.5118 58.7099 59.0779
April 62.2145 60.0745 60.9208
May 63.1490 61.4289 61.9245
June 65.9821 63.1651 64.4142
July 65.4342 62.5344 63.6621
August 64.7448 62.5736 63.5356
September 63.2136 62.6831 62.8699
October 63.2245 61.7826 62.3529
November 61.8387 60.7915 61.4005
December 61.8237 59.9622 60.8846