YEARLY HIGH
8.5950 RSD
YEARLY LOW
6.7080 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.5909 RSD

2016 NAD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NAD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 8.5950. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 17, dropping to 6.7080.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8870 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.9374 to the December average rate of 8.4386, the exchange rate registered a net change of 21.64% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 8.5950 was down 10.67% compared to the 2015 peak of 9.6214, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 42,975 RSD
2015 Average 42,832 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 33,540 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,435.14 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

8.5887
6.7873
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NAD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.1580, compared to 8.0237 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8658 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.1580
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.0237

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was August, with a trading range of 0.7161 RSD (High: 8.2742 / Low: 7.5581). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3444 RSD (High: 7.3426 / Low: 6.9982).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.7161
March Spread (Stable) ±0.3444

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.3035 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3035

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 8.4386) against the same month in 2015 (average: 7.4346), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0040 (+13.50%).

2016 Avg (December) 8.4386
2015 Avg (December) 7.4346

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.2466 6.7080 6.9374
February 7.3354 6.7666 7.0042
March 7.3426 6.9982 7.1984
April 7.6349 7.0822 7.4141
May 7.5361 6.9528 7.1106
June 7.5567 7.0391 7.2832
July 7.9208 7.5330 7.7387
August 8.2742 7.5581 7.9926
September 8.0960 7.5405 7.8131
October 8.2585 7.8004 8.0047
November 8.3664 7.9013 8.1548
December 8.5950 8.2306 8.4386