YEARLY HIGH
8.3062 RSD
YEARLY LOW
6.7031 RSD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.6094 RSD

2018 NAD to RSD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the NAD to RSD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 24, valuing the pair at 8.3062. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 5, dropping to 6.7031.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6031 RSD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.9789 to the December average rate of 7.3046, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.45% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8.3062 was down 10.06% compared to the 2017 peak of 9.2351, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 41,531 RSD
2017 Average 40,494 RSD
Yearly Trough Low 33,516 RSD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,015.26 RSD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

8.2187
6.8325
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NAD to RSD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.9599, compared to 7.2590 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7009 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.9599
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.2590

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was June, with a trading range of 0.7082 RSD (High: 8.0185 / Low: 7.3103). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2474 RSD (High: 8.2074 / Low: 7.9600).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.7082
March Spread (Stable) ±0.2474

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.3622 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3622

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 8.1032) against the same month in 2017 (average: 8.8200), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7168 (-8.13%).

2018 Avg (February) 8.1032
2017 Avg (February) 8.8200

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8.1133 7.8257 7.9789
February 8.3062 7.8820 8.1032
March 8.2074 7.9600 8.0872
April 8.1332 7.8075 7.9569
May 8.1795 7.8096 7.9875
June 8.0185 7.3103 7.6455
July 7.7011 7.3194 7.5024
August 7.7024 7.0029 7.3102
September 7.2023 6.7031 6.9480
October 7.3064 6.9366 7.1075
November 7.5929 7.1640 7.3814
December 7.6240 7.1116 7.3046