YEARLY HIGH
0.0126 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.0106 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0114 MDL

2025 NGN to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the NGN to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 8, valuing the pair at 0.0126. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 23, dropping to 0.0106.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0020 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0120 to the December average rate of 0.0116, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 0.0126 was down 38.73% compared to the 2024 peak of 0.0205, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,568 MDL
2024 Average 12,440 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 10,599 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,968.33 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

0.0123
0.0106
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0115, compared to 0.0113 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0115
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0113

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was February, with a trading range of 0.0015 MDL (High: 0.0126 / Low: 0.0111). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 MDL (High: 0.0121 / Low: 0.0119).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0015
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0008 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0008

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2025: 0.0122) against the same month in 2024 (average: 0.0136), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0014 (-10.10%).

2025 Avg (February) 0.0122
2024 Avg (February) 0.0136

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0121 0.0119 0.0120
February 0.0126 0.0111 0.0122
March 0.0124 0.0114 0.0118
April 0.0117 0.0106 0.0110
May 0.0109 0.0106 0.0108
June 0.0112 0.0109 0.0110
July 0.0112 0.0109 0.0110
August 0.0113 0.0107 0.0109
September 0.0112 0.0107 0.0110
October 0.0117 0.0112 0.0115
November 0.0118 0.0116 0.0117
December 0.0117 0.0114 0.0116