YEARLY HIGH
6.5765 MMK
YEARLY LOW
3.4282 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.0277 MMK

2016 NGN to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the NGN to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 6.5765. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 22, dropping to 3.4282.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1484 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 6.5274 to the December average rate of 4.2874, the exchange rate registered a net change of -34.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 6.5765 was down 0.42% compared to the 2015 peak of 6.6044, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,576,523 MMK
2015 Average 5,604,784 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 3,428,161 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,148,362.23 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

6.8097
3.4211
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.0293, compared to 4.0261 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.0032 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.0293
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0261

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 1.8320 MMK (High: 6.0045 / Low: 4.1725). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0865 MMK (High: 6.5765 / Low: 6.4901).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.8320
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0865

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.4006 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4006

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 6.5274) against the same month in 2015 (average: 5.5344), the exchange rate shifted by +0.9929 (+17.94%).

2016 Avg (January) 6.5274
2015 Avg (January) 5.5344

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 6.5765 6.4901 6.5274
February 6.5176 6.1624 6.2650
March 6.2323 6.0606 6.1134
April 6.1076 5.8414 5.9424
May 5.9676 5.8497 5.8915
June 6.0045 4.1725 5.4359
July 4.1655 3.7035 4.0353
August 3.8750 3.4282 3.7035
September 4.0266 3.8154 3.9267
October 4.1069 4.0012 4.0683
November 4.1899 4.0634 4.1351
December 4.4804 4.1723 4.2874