YEARLY HIGH
4.4864 MMK
YEARLY LOW
3.6680 MMK
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9905 MMK

2018 NGN to MMK Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the NGN to MMK exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 22, valuing the pair at 4.4864. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 18, dropping to 3.6680.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.8185 MMK. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.7352 to the December average rate of 4.3031, the exchange rate registered a net change of 15.21% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.4864 was up 0.15% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.4797, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 1,000,000 NGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,486,438 MMK
2017 Average 4,096,981 MMK
Yearly Trough Low 3,667,968 MMK
Transaction Impact: A difference of 818,469.65 MMK purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.4665
3.6278
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

NGN to MMK Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.7348, compared to 4.2461 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5112 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.7348
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.2461

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.2945 MMK (High: 4.4864 / Low: 4.1920). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0229 MMK (High: 3.7250 / Low: 3.7021).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.2945
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0229

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0935 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0935

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 4.3312) against the same month in 2017 (average: 3.7947), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5365 (+14.14%).

2018 Avg (September) 4.3312
2017 Avg (September) 3.7947

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.7699 3.6958 3.7352
February 3.7257 3.6696 3.6977
March 3.7250 3.7021 3.7127
April 3.7501 3.6680 3.7040
May 3.7639 3.7114 3.7495
June 3.9425 3.7420 3.8100
July 4.0414 3.9023 3.9634
August 4.2805 4.0378 4.1523
September 4.4864 4.1920 4.3312
October 4.4297 4.1917 4.3298
November 4.4301 4.3601 4.3966
December 4.3600 4.2386 4.3031