YEARLY HIGH
0.0558 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.0523 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0540 MOP

2026 NPR to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the NPR to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 0.0558. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 23, dropping to 0.0523.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0036 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0553 to the December average rate of 0.0527, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.0558 was down 5.86% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.0593, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 NPR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 279 MOP
2025 Average 288 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 261 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 17.82 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.0557
0.0524
JanuMarcMayJuly

NPR to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0542, compared to 0.0527 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0015 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0542
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0527

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.0023 MOP (High: 0.0554 / Low: 0.0530). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0006 MOP (High: 0.0532 / Low: 0.0526).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0023
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0006

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0013 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0013

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 0.0553) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.0581), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0028 (-4.86%).

2026 Avg (January) 0.0553
2025 Avg (January) 0.0581

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0558 0.0543 0.0553
February 0.0557 0.0547 0.0554
March 0.0554 0.0530 0.0543
April 0.0546 0.0532 0.0541
May 0.0532 0.0526 0.0528
June 0.0538 0.0527 0.0532
July 0.0534 0.0523 0.0527